TY  - JOUR
TI  - Impact of climate variability on Myanmar’s agricultural, total exports, and textile industry: Asymmetric and dynamic multipliers
AU  - Thann, Ode Htwee
AU  - Yuhuan, Zhao
AU  - Ahmad, Mobeen
AU  - Birau, Ramona
AU  - Popescu, Virgil
AU  - Mitroi, Adrian T.
AU  - Imran, Zulfiqar Ali
AU  - Ahad, Muhammad
AU  - Pricină, Gabriel Nicolae
T2  - Industria Textila
AB  - Climate change brings uncertainty and instability to ecosystems, economies, and global supply chains. It also
significantly influences the total export value of countries that heavily rely on agriculture for economic growth. This study
investigates the effects of climate variability on Myanmar’s agricultural and total exports. This study uses the nonlinear
autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach for the annual data from 1990 to 2021. This study finds that rainfall
negatively affects agricultural and total exports. Increasing rainfall leads to declining agricultural exports, whereas
decreasing rainfall enhances total exports in the long run. Decreasing rainfall declines agricultural exports, while
increasing rainfall diminishes total exports in the short run. Carbon emissions (CO 2 ) adversely affect agricultural and
total exports in both runs. However, temperatures positively impact agricultural and total exports in both runs. In
controlled variables, increased GDP has a positive impact on both agricultural and total exports. The textile and garment
industry in Myanmar is perceived as an economic sector that is mainly export-oriented. Agricultural production
contributes significantly to agricultural exports, which enhances total exports. This study offers new policy insights to
adapt and mitigate climate change’s influence on Myanmar’s export sectors.
DA  - 2025/08/28/
PY  - 2025
DO  - 10.35530/IT.076.04.20259
DP  - DOI.org (Crossref)
VL  - 76
IS  - 04
SP  - 530
EP  - 546
SN  - 12225347
ST  - Impact of climate variability on Myanmar’s agricultural, total exports, and textile industry
UR  - https://revistaindustriatextila.ro/images/2025/4/009%20ODE%20HTWEE%20THANN%20_%20INDUSTRIA%20TEXTILA%20no.4_2025.pdf
Y2  - 2025/08/31/15:21:55
ER  -